Investing- Yet Another Opinion

Friday, July 16, 2010

Consumer Confidence Collapses As “Recession” Returns

NO MATTER WHAT, the only thing that will pick the economy up is the strength of the consumer.. Where is it? When will it come back? Please do not expect us to get out of this mess anytime soon...


http://247wallst.com/2010/07/16/consumer-confidence-collapses-as-recession-returns/


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Wednesday, July 14, 2010

Fwd: The Fed: Fed to mull stimulus moves just in case

 

 
 


Federal Reserve officials agreed in June that it would be a good idea to study what to do if the economy were to worsen severely, according to a summary of the closed-door June meeting released on Wednesday.



Why would the fed do this if there is nothing to worry about?
 
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How to Play 2010's Hot Stock Trends

 

 
 


The second quarter created headwinds, but some investors have still profited.
 
 
 

Bing and Yahoo! Gang Up on Google

 





comScore needs to clear away the contextual smoke and mirrors for its number to matter.


...Sounds like some motivation for google. Could this make google explode??

Overbought Market Could Take a Dip

 

 
 

via T3Live Blog by Scott Redler on 7/14/10

By: Scott Redler

From 1010 to about 1099, that's 90 handles in a pretty short time period. Lots of stocks had nice calculated moves, and some can continue, but next few days can be tricky. Earnings so far are doing better than thought, so this move can be supported. But no reason why S&P can't trade down to 1075-1080 first. It doesn't have to, but the first lukewarm report may trigger some profit taking. I've been long stocks and tried to be short SPY last two days as the move has been large. I never try and get all the juice, just the meat and potatoes.

TECH
AAPL got hit hard yesterday on iPhone concerns yesterday. It's down $3 this morning, see how it handles yesterday's low.
AMZN squeezed me hard yesterday. I will try a short again today for a day trade.
SNDK was a nice quick short yesterday on the AAPL news, today could be tricky, watch how AAPL trades.
VMW acts great near hold highs. No set up here until earnings.
BIDU also acts well
GOOG big bounce back to almost 500. I would take some profits if you can.
RIMM nice oversold bounce back into earnings gap, stock got a push up with AAPL weakness.

BANKS were the trade yesterday, most broke downtrend.
GS was great long at 138.50. Sold some around 140 and it should continue to 144-145.
JPM last time I sent it was 37.50 now it's 40+ hard to buy now. Could rest before numbers tomorrow.
BAC nice snap back to almost 16. I can't buy here.

CASINOS gave us nice trades.
LVS triggered through my 23.70 price and now could see 24.50-25.
MGM sent out note around 9.20-9.40 it's now at my quick target of 10.50-10.70. I sold some.

AIG triggered yesterday. Sent out note to buy around 36.50, yesterday it went to 38. Still has some room.

CNAM hearing quarter will be good, and stock is misunderstood. I bought some and will buy more if it trades through 3.30-3.40 with volume.

BP was a great short yesterday and could see more downside to the 35.50 area.

THIS IS A VERY TRICKY TIME NOW, MARKET IS VERY OVERBOUGHT. But it doesn't HAVE to do anything. Stay calculated, and not stubborn.

I am in Tier two short the market though, and if they push us early towards 111 in the SPY I will add more for a cost average trade but this could be painful. This potent up move- typically leads to another eventually, but I think as traders this is an area to get a nice short if done right.

A Winning Strategy for Any Market

 
 
 


Paired trades can win even when stocks fall.

14 Dividend Stocks With Dividend Growth Potential

 

 
 

via Long Investment Ideas from Seeking Alpha by Dividend Growth Investor on 7/14/10

Dobromir Stoyanov submits:

Over the past 80 years, stocks have returned almost 10% annually. Dividends have accounted for approximately 40% of average annual returns. At the same time inflation has averaged 3% annually. These numbers are all averages however – investors cannot expect to generate 10% per year in total returns every single year. Stock returns fluctuate over time. While stock prices gyrate wildly up and down dividends provide a more stable component of total returns.

The relative stability of dividend payments makes them an ideal source of retirement income for individuals looking to live off their investments. Not only are dividend payments stable however, but they also tend to rise faster than the rate of inflation over time. Over the past 80 years, dividends have increased by 5.4% on average, which was almost 2.4% higher than the rate of inflation. Earnings per share, which is the ultimate driver behind dividend growth, increased by 5.50% over the same time period. Without earnings growth, companies could not afford to raise distributions consistently.


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